Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.202529 0.230238 0.259945 0.294118 0.332294 0.373578 0.421555
2026-01-18 0.167089 0.204556 0.247395 0.299829 0.362090 0.433464 0.521280
2026-01-25 0.143346 0.186947 0.239595 0.307469 0.392235 0.494152 0.625468
2026-02-01 0.121850 0.168210 0.226980 0.306307 0.409846 0.539577 0.713480
2026-02-08 0.105189 0.152902 0.216104 0.304988 0.425626 0.582355 0.799823
2026-02-15 0.091841 0.140008 0.206434 0.303407 0.439747 0.622709 0.884479
2026-02-22 0.083521 0.132923 0.203566 0.310190 0.464854 0.678411 0.992252
2026-03-01 0.074586 0.123734 0.196502 0.309879 0.479274 0.719528 1.081569
2026-03-08 0.067117 0.115813 0.190318 0.309910 0.493580 0.760629 1.172451
2026-03-15 0.060823 0.108966 0.184955 0.310405 0.508109 0.802296 1.265797
2026-03-22 0.056364 0.104575 0.182905 0.315619 0.529790 0.855291 1.378223
2026-03-29 0.052938 0.101519 0.182627 0.323423 0.555702 0.915707 1.504563
2026-04-05 0.048638 0.096612 0.179050 0.325863 0.573737 0.965846 1.619319
2026-04-12 0.045473 0.093396 0.178024 0.332413 0.598788 1.028273 1.756575
2026-04-19 0.042918 0.091019 0.178206 0.340943 0.627533 1.097978 1.908839
2026-04-26 0.039199 0.085985 0.173138 0.339741 0.639442 1.140619 2.019063
2026-05-03 0.035851 0.081291 0.168229 0.338328 0.650687 1.182459 2.129680
2026-05-10 0.032814 0.076874 0.163412 0.336610 0.661087 1.223132 2.239962
2026-05-17 0.031136 0.075107 0.163518 0.344067 0.688358 1.293894 2.404477
2026-05-24 0.028754 0.071549 0.159750 0.343731 0.701133 1.339822 2.527983
2026-05-31 0.026632 0.068319 0.156338 0.343767 0.714469 1.387188 2.655897
2026-06-07 0.024749 0.065413 0.153323 0.344311 0.728682 1.436626 2.789458
2026-06-14 0.023482 0.063803 0.152891 0.350037 0.753167 1.505769 2.961259